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Baylor vs Arkansas: March Madness Elite 8 Betting Odds and Predictions – March 29, 2021

Read about March Madness betting odds and predictions for the Elite 8 game between the Baylor Bears and the Arkansas Razorbacks on 3/29/2021.

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An Elite 8 matchup features the No. 1 seed Baylor Bears (22-2) and the No. 3 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (22-6) meeting with a place in the Final Four up for grabs on Monday at Lucas Oil Stadium. Baylor is a 7-point favorite in the NCAA Tournament South Region bracket final, which begins at a time to be announced.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 28, 2021, 12:10 AM ET.

Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Baylor -7 -113 -107 149 -113 -108

Baylor Betting Insights

  • Baylor has been good against the spread this season, posting a 16-9-1 record.
  • When favored by at least 7 points, the Bears have fared well against the spread, putting together a 10-8-1 record.
  • More often than not, Baylor and its foes have united to hit the over, cashing in on 15 of 26 chances this season.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Key Players for Baylor

  • Jared Butler leads the Bears scoring 16.6 points per game.
  • Davion Mitchell leads Baylor with 5.3 assists a game and Mark Vital paces the squad with 6.8 rebounds per contest.
  • Butler paces the Bears with a team-high 2.5 three-pointers per game.
  • Baylor’s steals leader is Butler, who collects 2.1 per game. Vital leads the team averaging 0.9 blocks a contest.

Arkansas Betting Insights

  • With a 20-10 record ATS this season, the Razorbacks have outperformed expectations.
  • For the 14th time this season, the Razorbacks are at least a 7-point underdog, where they have a record of 9-4 against the spread.
  • Arkansas has hit the over in 15 games this season, half of the 30 games they have played this season.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Key Players for Arkansas

  • Moses Moody owns the Razorbacks top spot in scoring with 17.0 points per game and also tacks on 5.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest.
  • Justin Smith (7.3 rebounds per game) and Jalen Tate (3.9 assists per game) are the Arkansas leaders in rebounds and assists.
  • The 1.9 three-pointers Moody makes per game are a team-high mark for the Razorbacks.
  • Arkansas’ JD Notae has the top spot on the team’s steals leaderboard with 1.5 per game and Connor Vanover is first in blocks with 1.8 per game.

Computer Predictions

Pick ATS:
Razorbacks (+7)

Pick OU:
Over (149)

Prediction: Baylor 77, Arkansas 73

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Last 5 Games

Baylor

Arkansas
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
3/27/2021 Villanova Win 62-51 3/27/2021 Oral Roberts Win 72-70
3/21/2021 Wisconsin Win 76-63 3/21/2021 Texas Tech Win 68-66
3/19/2021 Hartford Win 79-55 3/19/2021 Colgate Win 85-68
3/12/2021 Oklahoma State Loss 83-74 3/13/2021 LSU Loss 78-71
3/11/2021 Kansas State Win 74-68 3/12/2021 Missouri Win 70-64

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
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