The No. 12 seed Oregon State Beavers (17-12) are 7.5-point underdogs in their NCAA Tournament Elite 8 matchup with the No. 2 seed Houston Cougars (24-3) on Monday at Lucas Oil Stadium, airing on CBS starting at 7:15 PM ET, with the winner advancing to the Final Four from the Midwest Region bracket.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 29, 2021, 12:10 AM ET.
Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | -7.5 | -107 | -113 | 129 | -112 | -108 |
Houston Betting Insights
- Houston has been good against the spread this season, posting a 20-8 record.
- The Cougars have posted a winning record of 17-7 against the spread when the spread is -7.5 or bigger.
- Houston and its foes have combined to reach or surpass the over in 14 of 28 games this season (50%).
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Key Players for Houston
- Quentin Grimes leads the Cougars scoring 18.0 points per game.
- Dejon Jarreau leads Houston with 4.3 assists a game and Justin Gorham paces the squad with 8.6 rebounds per contest.
- Grimes hits a team-high 3.4 three-pointers per game for the Cougars.
- The Cougars steals leader is Marcus Sasser, who grabs 1.4 per game. Brison Gresham leads the team averaging 1.6 blocks an outing.
Oregon State Betting Insights
- With a 21-9-1 record ATS this season, the Beavers have outplayed expectations.
- The Beavers only hold a 1-3 record against the spread this season when they enter a game as at least a 7.5-point underdog.
- 18 of Oregon State’s 31 games (58.1%) this season have gone over the over/under.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Key Players for Oregon State
- Ethan Thompson’s strong showing this season give him the top spot on the Beavers scoring and assists leaderboards with 15.8 points per game and 3.8 assists per game.
- Abdul Alatishe collects all of the boards and is the Oregon State leader in rebounds, grabbing 8.7 per game.
- Jarod Lucas hits a team-high 2.3 three-pointers per game for the Beavers.
- Alatishe is a defensive force for Oregon State, leading the team in both steals (1.2 per game) and blocks (1.4 per game).
Computer Predictions
Pick ATS:
Cougars (-7.5)
Pick OU:
Over (129)
Prediction: Houston 74, Oregon State 62
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Last 5 Games
| Houston | Oregon State | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 3/27/2021 | Syracuse | Win | 62-46 | 3/27/2021 | Loyola Chicago | Win | 65-58 |
| 3/21/2021 | Rutgers | Win | 63-60 | 3/21/2021 | Oklahoma State | Win | 80-70 |
| 3/19/2021 | Cleveland State | Win | 87-56 | 3/19/2021 | Tennessee | Win | 70-56 |
| 3/14/2021 | Cincinnati | Win | 91-54 | 3/13/2021 | Colorado | Win | 70-68 |
| 3/13/2021 | Memphis | Win | 76-74 | 3/12/2021 | Oregon | Win | 75-64 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
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